Syria’s Future Lies in Decentralisation

Manish Rai | iKurd.net

The Conference on Kurdish Unity and Common Stance was recently concluded in Qamishlo, North-East Syria. Over 400 delegates from various parts of Syria participated in the conference, which aimed to strengthen Kurdish unity and establish common political positions.

A communiqué at the end of the conference, which was also attended by United States officials, demanded that a future Syrian constitution should enshrine respect for Kurdish national rights in post-Assad Syria.

The most important point of the pan-Kurdish statement was advocacy for Syria as a decentralised democratic state. Unfortunately, without giving much thought to this idea, the Syrian Presidency, in a haphazard manner, rejected it. The Syrian presidency’s statement not only rejected the call for a decentralised state but also mentioned that recent statements by Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) leaders advocating a federal solution are clearly against the deal that was agreed.

The Syrian President was joined by Syria’s Islamist leaders, who opposed Kurdish demands for the country to adopt a decentralised system of government as a new political order, stating that this poses a threat to national unity. Before the Syrian uprising morphed into a full-scale war, Syria was probably the most authoritarian regime in the Arab region, unequalled in the scale of its repressive practices except by the Iraqi regime of Saddam Hussein. The new authorities in Damascus want to rebuild the country on this same line with a highly centralised governance structure.

Today’s Syria, because of thirteen years of conflict, now suffers from deep divisions along both ethno-sectarian and geographic lines. While economic links and interdependency still very much persist between the various parts of the country, and most Syrians remain remarkably attached to the idea of national unity, the country’s social fabric has fragmented.

Even after the removal of the regime of Bashar al-Assad, the new interim government did not put any effort into restoring confidence among the minorities of the country. In March this year, Alawites living mostly in coastal areas of Syria were brutally targeted by the militias allied with the current government, and more than 1600 civilians were killed by the Jihadists.

Around 100 Syrian Druze religious elders visit the Nabi Shuayb Shrine, a holy site for the Druze community in northern Israel, on March 14, 2025. This marks the first Druze delegation from Syria to visit since the 1973 war, March 14, 2025. Photo: Reuters

Currently, another minority group. i.e. Druze are being targeted by the forces loyal to Damascus, the clashes between pro-government fighters and local Druze gunmen resulted in the killing of more than a dozen people in a suburb of the Syrian capital. In the aftermath of this violence, the Druze have taken control of Suwayda province and are preventing interim government forces from entering.

The same goes for Druze-populated districts in the suburbs of the capital, including Jaramana, Sahnaya, and Jdeidat Artouz. With this kind of deep feeling of insecurity among the minorities, building a Syrian state with concentrated power in Damascus is unrealistic.

Ironically, interim President Ahmad-al-Sharaa wrongly believes that centralisation is essential to preventing further fragmentation and dismantling competing power structures. By consolidating authority under a strong central state, he seeks to monopolise control over security, political, and economic decision-making, ensuring the transitional authorities retain dominance over Syria’s future direction.

He is following the same deeply centralized approach he adopted in Idlib, but Mr. Sharaa needs to understand this approach can’t be applied pan-Syria, as ruling a homogenous province which mainly has one ethnicity and governing a very diverse country is totally different. The Syrian conflict has devastated every component on which a country stands on its own, like its population, civil society, infrastructure, cultural heritage, and economy.

Prior to the conflict, Syria was a middle-income country with an economy based on agriculture, industry, oil, trade, and tourism, with decent health care and education. In a country that has suffered from decades of authoritarian rule, an overly centralised system could replicate the same patterns of exclusion and repression that fuelled the previous conflict, potentially leading to renewed instability, governance paralysis, or even conflict relapse.

One thing is clear that Syria can’t be a monolithic nation state. But whether it is going to be a decentralisation, federalism, or a confederation must be decided by Syrians themselves. But it will be a long negotiation process to decide the exact form of a decentralized state structure. In the past, some form of decentralisation was conceptualised.

The devolution agreement, along the lines of a 2011 decree, was issued by the Syrian government of Bashar Al-Assad detailing the role of local authorities. Decree 107, also known as the “Local Administration Law,” was introduced as part of a package of political reforms passed in August 2011 in response to demands by a civil uprising by then already sweeping the country.

The decree was designed to devolve political and administrative responsibilities to institutions at the local level, but it was never fully clear how it would be implemented. But this proposal of the past regime can be used as a starting point to further develop a governance system acceptable to everyone.

Syria is a multiethnic society consisting of Sunni Arabs, Kurds, Assyrians, Armenians, Turkomans, Alawites, and Yazidis. To keep the country united and stable, it is need of the hour to delegate powers at the local level.

In multi-ethnic countries like Nigeria and India, this kind of model has arguably helped to hold these nations together. The future Syrian state should be a nation that accommodates and grants rights to all the ethnic groups, and everyone feels their participation in running the state.

Mr Jwan Shekaki from NPA Syria based in Qamishlo, and Mr Hozan Zubair, Syrian Journalist from Al-Hasaka, currently based in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan, provided inputs for this article.

Manish Rai, a senior long-time contributing writer for iKurd.net, see below.

The opinions are those of the writer and do not necessarily represent the views of iKurd.net or its editors.